Showing posts with label senate trial. Show all posts
Showing posts with label senate trial. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 13, 2021

Punishing Donald Trump: What Happens Next

  The constitutional framers were right to be concerned about checking presidential power and devised several mechanisms to do that.  Donald Trump needs to  pay a price for inciting an insurrection at the US Capitol.  But what and how?  Vice-President Mike Pence has declared that he will not invoke the Twenty-Fifth Amendment to remove the president. As a result, on January 13, 2021–merely seven days before his term expires–the US House of Representatives has impeached Donald Trump for the second time, with a trial likely after he leaves office. 

Former Judge Michael Luttig and Yale Law Professor Bruce Ackerman make mistakes in contending that a Senate trial on impeachment charges cannot occur after the president leaves office and  that Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment allows for presidential disbarment from future office by a majority vote.  They also fail in declaring the obvious–a criminal indictment and  conviction after Trump leaves office could still occur.

Both Luttig and Ackerman contend that impeachment can only occur while the president is in office because the language of Article II, Section Four of the Constitution refers to conviction and removal from office.  Nothing in the plain language of the text declares impeachment and a trial must take place while a person is in office; the language merely states that removal from office comes with conviction.  Moreover, even if we think the Constitution ought to be interpreted in light of the intent of the framers, nothing in the Convention debates, as reported by James Madison or Max Farrand’s notes on it, suggests the Framers intended impeachment to be limited to while a person was still in office.

Yes, the Framers, including Benjamin Franklin,  said the impeachment process was tied to removal from office as was the British tradition, yet there is no clear indication that their intent precluded impeachment and conviction after leaving office.  Moreover,  given that the Framers were concerned with checking the excesses of executive power as a result of their experiences with King George when America was a British colony, construing the impeachment process to allow for its use currently contemplated in Congress is a reasonable way to adapt it to a threat perhaps not seen in 1787.

History is against Ackerman and Luttig.  In 1877 the Senate held an impeachment trial for Secretary of War William Belknap after he resigned from office.  The Senate ruled it had the authority to do this.  Supreme Court decisions on impeachment have said it generally will not second-guess Congress on its impeachment power and it is unlikely to do so if the Senate holds a trial after Trump leaves office. 

Ackerman also contends that the language of the Fourteenth Amendment permits Congress by a majority vote to declare that the president has participated in an insurrection and bar him from future office.  First, neither in the plaintext of the Amendment nor history support this argument.  The Amendment refers to how Congress can vote to undo the ban, not how to impose it.  Supreme Court Chief Justice Salmon Chase riding in circuit ruled in
Griffin’s Case
, 11 F. Cas. 7, 26 (C.C.D. Va. 1869) this clause is not self-executing, again questioning Ackerman’s assertions.  Historians have also argued Section Three is an artifact of the Civil War and Reconstruction, and not applicable beyond the unique issues of those times.

Accepting Ackerman’s argument would set up a scenario where a Congress, disliking a first-term president, could declare an incumbent president ineligible for a second term with a mere majority vote.  This procedure would effectively  allow Congress to negate the impeachment process and the two-thirds vote necessary to remove a president from office. It is unlikely the Framers of the Fourteenth Amendment intended this.

Finally, while there is debate over whether a sitting president can be charged with a crime, there is no question he can be charged after leaving office and a felony conviction with a determination of guilt is an obvious way to punish and hold presidents accountable for their behavior.

Saturday, December 14, 2019

Trump’s Impeachment: What is the Democratic Party’s Post-Acquittal Game Plan?

What are the Democrats going to do the day after the Republican Senate acquits Donald Trump on
the articles of impeachment?  This is perhaps the most important question the Democrats need to address and so far it does not look like they have an answer.
Donald Trump has done a lot of bad things as president that might rise to the level of treason, bribery, or high crimes and misdemeanors.  Leveraging US foreign policy interests for personal election advantage with Ukraine is one example.  So is obstruction of Congress, eleven counts of possible obstruction of justice documented in the Mueller report, and violations of the Emoluments clause.  Any or all of them might be impeachable offenses, yet barring the unexpected, the House will settle on abuse of power and obstruction of Congress as the two articles of impeachment it will send over to the Senate for trial.
Again, barring the unexpected, the Senate will acquit.  What then?  What have the Democrats gained or accomplished?
There are several arguments supporting impeachment.  One is that if the Democrats do not impeach it will embolden this president to continue to corrupt the 2020 elections with other impermissible acts.  Or that the failure to impeach will embolden future presidents to do what Trump has done, or even worse.  Maybe, but what is an acquittal going to say?  Does the acquittal vindicate Trump, leaving both him and future presidents justified in terms of doing what he is already do, but now with the stamp of approval in terms of acquittal?
Maybe impeachment will shift public opinion against the president in the 2020 elections?  However, Trump already lost the popular vote in 2016 but won in the electoral college and that could happen again in 2020.  Public opinion does not really matter, especially in a few swing states, and even if it does matter, there is little indication so fr that the impeachment process has moved it.
Maybe impeachment is meant to deter Trump?  But does anyone really think impeachment, especially with acquittal, is a deterrent to Trump?
Maybe impeachment is for the history books, staining Trump as only the third president in history to be impeached and tried in the Senate?
Maybe all of these are valid reasons, but the bottom line is that Trump is going to be acquitted and the Democrats need a plan for what they are going to do and say the day after this happens.
The real prize for the Democrats is getting Trump out of office and that means defeating him in the 2020 election.    Maybe impeachment fits into that plan but it is not obvious how and instead it may be a distraction to that larger prize.  Do the impeachment and acquittal put Trump’s fundraising into overdrive?  Does it energize his base to vote in larger percentages than in the previous election, especially in the critical swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and perhaps Minnesota?  Or does the impeachment strategy leverage vulnerable Republican  Senators to vote to acquit Trump and thereby enhance the Democrats’ possibility of winning control of the US Senate?
All of the above are good questions and so far there seems little discussion about what is next for the Democrats in terms of how they see the impeachment ultimately leading to the ouster of Donald Trump from the presidency in 2020.